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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 3/23/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant measures in the 98th percentile, averaging a massive 26.7 points per game when playing away from home this year.

Kevin Durant has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.

The 9th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Spurs).

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league away from their home court over the last 25 games has been the Suns.

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 13.0 points per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, creating a tough matchup for offensive output.

Relative to last season's 6.8 rate, Kevin Durant's foul shots sunk have diminished this season to 5.3 per game.

The matchup vs. Jeremy Sochan is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; when matched up against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.0 free throws per game (17th percentile).

Kevin Durant is expected to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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