Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has scored 27.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 90th percentile for 3-point prowess when playing at home with a very good 45.4% rate this year.
Kevin Durant has tallied 37.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
In terms of offense, the Phoenix Suns's stellar 117.3 points per game comes in as the 6th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 40.8% on threes (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, branding this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 8thworst in in the league while at home with a mere 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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