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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has tallied 28.1 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 37.2 minutes per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.8).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA as the road team over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Bucks have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Phoenix Suns.

Compared to last year's 6.8 rate, Kevin Durant's free throws sunk have tailed off this year to 5.4 per game.

The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).

Kevin Durant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production across the board.

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