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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has averaged 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged overall this season.

Kevin Durant has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Kevin Durant has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 44.1% on field goals (4th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, branding this as a difficult matchup.

The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Kevin Durant stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

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