Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 3:20 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant comes in at the 94th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league as the road team over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).
The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, their opposition has grabbed 12.6 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (retaining possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).

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