Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has made 12.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net overall this year playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 37.0 minutes per game this year.
Kevin Durant has committed a measly 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.2 technicals per game last year.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 5.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Suns have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Lakers have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant has successfully made just 5.5 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 6.8 mark last year.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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