Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Suns.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (95th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.7%).
The Suns have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 6.8 rate, Kevin Durant's foul shots scored have regressed this season to 5.4 per game.

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