Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant places in the 98th percentile, compiling a massive 27.5 points per game on the road this year.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 37.0 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Suns's excellent 123.7 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 96th percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 6.8 clip, Kevin Durant's free throws converted have tailed off this season to 5.5 per game.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks have the home court advantage (13th-least in the NBA).