Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has attempted 23.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 37.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more plays for the Suns.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pistons is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.0).
The Suns check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 6.8 mark, Kevin Durant's free throws hit have diminished this season to 5.4 per game.

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