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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has attempted 6.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Kevin Durant has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Suns rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

The matchup against Miami is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (46.4%).

The 9th-fastest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Durant has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Relative to last season's 6.8 clip, Kevin Durant's foul shots drained have fallen this season to 5.8 per game.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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