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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 1/28/2024

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has attempted 7.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Kevin Durant has averaged 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.

In terms of offense, the Suns's excellent 128.0 points per game as the road team rates strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Magic are at home, opposing starting PFs have shot for the 21st-highest field goal rate in the league this year (49.9%).

The 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant places in the 98th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.2 fouls per game this year.

The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

In contrast to last season's 6.8 rate, Kevin Durant's foul shots sunk have regressed this season to 6.0 per game.

Kevin Durant stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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