Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 19, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant places in the 99th percentile, putting up an enormous 28.9 points per game this year.
Kevin Durant has sunk 2.9 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this year away from his home court.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Suns rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with respect to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Zion Williamson is a hard one for three-pointers; when defending opposing starting PFs this year, they have converted a mere 25.5% of their 3-point shots (3rd percentile).
Kevin Durant ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.

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