Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 16, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has compiled 27.8 points per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
Kevin Durant has converted 46.9% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 36.9 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 22 games playing at home.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, branding this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 8thworst in in the NBA with only 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, struggling to get to the foul line.

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