Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 99th percentile, tallying a massive 29.3 points per game this year.
Kevin Durant has made a whopping 47.1% of his 3-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 37.3 mark last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.8 minutes per game this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a tough one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 12th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.6%).
The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player production across the board.

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