Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 3:42 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has totaled 29.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
Kevin Durant has converted a terrific 47.3% of his three-point attempts this season, a significant increase from his 37.3 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant slots into the 100th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.1 minutes per game this year.
The Suns rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 free throws per game this year (22nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Suns.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Suns.

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