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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 12/31/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has posted 27.9 points per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.

Kevin Durant has converted 49.3% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.

Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Suns rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games at home.

The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Orlando is a hard one; when the Orlando Magic are away from home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).

The most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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