Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 28.4 points per game at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
Kevin Durant has made 47.3% of his three-point shots this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Kevin Durant has played 36.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on shot attempts from the field (30th-best in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have captured 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (maintaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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