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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has logged 29.3 points per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant measures in the 95th percentile for three-point proficiency with a a remarkable 48.1% rate this year.

Kevin Durant has averaged 35.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Suns have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when it comes to three-point attempts.

The 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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