Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has registered 31.0 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
Kevin Durant has converted 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.7 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a good one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 25th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%).
The Suns are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Suns's lackluster 111.0 points per game rates 5th-worst in the league over the last 10 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league while playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the league).
Kevin Durant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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