Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 99th percentile, putting up a colossal 30.6 points per game this year.
Kevin Durant has sunk 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 36.6 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5thbest in in the league on the road with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's poor 112.2 points per game settles in as the 7th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 29.6% on three-pointers (12th-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, marking this as a tough matchup.
The least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Suns.
Kevin Durant is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.