Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs New York Knicks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 48.5% mark, Kevin Durant's field goal prowess has increased this year to 57.1%.
Kevin Durant has sunk a whopping 50.5% of his 3-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 37.3 rate last year.
Kevin Durant has tallied 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
In terms of offense, the Phoenix Suns's stellar 116.9 points per game away from their home court measures as the 4th-best in the league over the last 13 games.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 47.8% on three-pointers (29th-best in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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