Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 48.5% clip, Kevin Durant's shooting efficiency has jumped this year to 57.8%.
In contrast to last season's 37.3% rate, Kevin Durant's 3-point efficiency has increased this season to 52.1%.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 35.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
In regard to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's impressive 116.1 points per game while on their home court places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled 19.5 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Nets, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity.

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 5thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Nets (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

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