Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:15 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 18.7 rate, Kevin Durant's field goal attempts have increased this season to 21.0 per game.
Relative to last year's 37.3% mark, Kevin Durant's 3-point performance has spiked this year to 51.0%.
In terms of scoring, the Phoenix Suns's excellent 116.2 points per game as the road team measures as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.4).
The Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 1.8 rate, Kevin Durant's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 2.2.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 6thworst in in the league while playing away from home with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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