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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has attempted 20.8 shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 18.7 mark last year.

Compared to last season's 37.3% mark, Kevin Durant's three-point ability has jumped this season to 52.1%.

Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year.

The Suns have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

Without the home court advantage, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 1.8 clip, Kevin Durant's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 2.3.

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.4).

The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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