Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 17.8 foul shots per game when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

In regard to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA with the home court advantage over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease possessions for the Suns.

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