Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 8:48 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league while traveling this year, which should boost possessions for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the least offensive boards per game (7.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Grizzlies have the home court advantage, opposing squads have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league against them this year (15.4).
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
This year, the other team has attempted 25.0 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

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