Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 37.3% rate, Kevin Durant's three-point prowess has risen this year to 52.3%.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 35.4 minutes per game this year.
Kevin Durant has committed just 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 0.2 technicals per game last year.
The Suns rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 25th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (14.4).

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing squads have attempted 24.7 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

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