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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 11/21/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has posted 29.5 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

In comparison to last year's 37.3% clip, Kevin Durant's 3-point efficiency has jumped this year to 48.7%.

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Suns's stellar 117.1 points per game at home rates 8th-highest in the NBA this year.

Kevin Durant has attempted 8.5 foul shots per game this year, significantly more than his 7.4 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 28.7% on three-pointers (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The 5th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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