Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has attempted 22.5 shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 18.7 rate last year.
In comparison to last year's 37.3% rate, Kevin Durant's 3-point proficiency has risen this year to 49.0%.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have tallied 6.8 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Jazz, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Suns.

Favors Under

The Suns check in as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have brought down 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).
Kevin Durant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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