Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has made 10.1 baskets per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 37.7 minutes per game since the start of last season.
Kevin Durant has attempted 9.1 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 7.4 mark last year.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe on the road: 8th-best in the league this year, tallying 24.5 free throws per game.
Kevin Durant ought to see a rise in performance across the board considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Suns check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year in terms of field goals.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have notched 13.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance.
The Suns have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the league away from home this year.
The Suns will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).
This year, their opposition has brought down 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers (preserving possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).

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