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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 10/31/2023

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

While on their home court, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home (28th-most in the NBA).

Kevin Durant should see a spike in performance for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)% in home games, Kevin Durant's scoring prowess has fallen by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 11 games playing at home.

Kevin Durant has committed 1.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 5.0 field goals per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, creating a hard matchup.

Relative to his full-year rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)%, Kevin Durant's foul-shot prowess has dropped by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 11 games.

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Phoenix Suns's feeble 21.9 foul shots per game while playing away from home rates 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

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