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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 5/5/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has averaged 25.1 points per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.

Kevin Durant has played 36.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant has converted 6.6 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

Kevin Durant will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.7).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Suns.

Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a measly 21.9 foul shots per game.

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