Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 29, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 43.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant has sunk 8.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has attempted just 18.2 shots from the field per game this year, significantly less than his 20.2 mark last year.
Kevin Durant has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (99th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.3).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Suns.

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