Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 22, 2023

Updated Apr 22, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has been on the court for 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The matchup against the Clippers is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (17.7).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has attempted a mere 18.2 field goals per game this year, significantly lower than his 20.2 rate last year.
Kevin Durant has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (99th percentile).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls when playing away from home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 21.2 free throw attempts per game.
Kevin Durant will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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