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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 4/20/2023

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has averaged 28.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.

Kevin Durant has sunk 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this season.

Kevin Durant has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (17.6).

The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Durant has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (99th percentile).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year.

The Clippers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Suns.

On their home court, the Clippers have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the free throw line away from their home court: 4th-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 20.6 foul shots per game.

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