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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2023

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has averaged 24.0 points per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.

Kevin Durant has attempted 6.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Kevin Durant has played 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile.

The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (17.5).

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

The Clippers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Suns.

When playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the league this year, tallying just 21.9 foul shots per game.

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