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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kevin Durant has averaged 23.3 points per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
  • Kevin Durant has successfully made 2.0 threes per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Kevin Durant has averaged 33.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a positive one; when the Clippers are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (17.2).
  • The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
  • The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
  • The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.
  • The Clippers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Clippers are the visiting squad (9th-least in the league).

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