My Account Log Out

reorder

Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 4/6/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has scored 21.3 points per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.

Kevin Durant has made 2.6 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.

Kevin Durant has averaged 31.3 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.5).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

More Kevin Durant Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™