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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has successfully made 10.3 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Kevin Durant has successfully made 55.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 18.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Kevin Durant has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a favorable one for threes; when the Thunder are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (43.6%).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Durant has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last season.

The Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at getting to the foul line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying just 21.6 free throw attempts per game.

Kevin Durant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production for all stats.

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