Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has converted 10.5 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kevin Durant has sunk 50.1% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Kevin Durant has played 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one; when the Timberwolves are away from home, they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (16.7).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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