Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Mavericks have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game this year (23rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (41.1%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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