Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Bulls is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most field goals per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.
At home, the Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 10.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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