Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Hornets is a positive one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 25th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Charlotte may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Hornets have the home court advantage (11th-least in the NBA).

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