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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has attempted 7.0 threes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Kevin Durant has sunk 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's sunk overall this season without the home court advantage.

Kevin Durant has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Brooklyn Nets have been the most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

While playing at home, the Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Durant has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; opposing squads have posted the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.6%).

The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Nets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.0 foul shots per game this year (5th-least in the NBA).

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