Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Kevin Durant has successfully made 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted in all games this year while on the road.
Kevin Durant has attempted 8.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Kevin Durant has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 5th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (36.9).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a difficult one for shots from the field; while at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 8th-least baskets per game in the league since the start of last season (5.1).
Kevin Durant will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production across the board.

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