Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has posted 29.6 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
Kevin Durant has converted 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season when playing on the road.
Kevin Durant has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Bulls have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season with the home court advantage (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against the Bulls is a difficult one for threes; while playing at home, their opposition have tallied the 4th-least treys per game in the league this year (13.2).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Bulls is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA since the start of last season (42.2%).

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