Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 26, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has sunk 43.5% of his shots from downtown playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
Kevin Durant has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Kevin Durant has averaged 37.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
In regard to three-point shots, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 39.0% rate of converted threes ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
Kevin Durant will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.6 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 4thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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