Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 10:06 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -325 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has made 41.1% of his attempts from downtown while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kevin Durant has attempted 7.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.6 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
Kevin Durant stands to see a decline in performance in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

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