Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-163).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has sunk 2.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.8).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA as the road team over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Bucks have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Phoenix Suns.
Kevin Durant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production across the board.

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