Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has successfully made 43.2% of his shots from downtown when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
Kevin Durant has played 37.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Suns have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.
The 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 96th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a difficult one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 13th-lowest three percentage in the league over the last 5 games when the Warriors are on their home court (15.5%).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has come down with 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors (continuing possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Kevin Durant will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production across the board.